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Coronavirus in the UK: when will the worst of this be over?

What data from the first wave suggests about how much longer cases and deaths will continue to riseCoronavirus – latest updatesSee all our coronavirus

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What data from the first wave suggests about how much longer cases and deaths will continue to rise

The UK is on course for record hospital admissions and deaths in the coming weeks, as coronavirus cases hit an all-time high following the loosening of restrictions in December and the rapid spread of the new variant.

On Monday, the chief medical officer for England, Chris Whitty, warned that the country was approaching the worst weeks of the pandemic. Data from the first wave of Covid-19 and statistical modelling may give us some indication of just how much longer deaths, cases and hospital admissions could continue to rise.

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