Japan is printing a bunch of lower-tier data this week, but I have a feeling that safe-haven flows will dominate the yen’s price action.

What do you think?

Which of these potential catalysts can influence the yen’s intraweek trends?

Lower-tier domestic data

Overall risk appetite

  • Vaccine and global recovery updates will continue to weigh on safe-havens like the yen
  • Any safe-haven weakness would be tempered by uncertainty over the Jan 5 Georgia Senate runoffs and Biden’s confirmation on Jan 6
  • U.S. NFP and FOMC-related updates can also cause volatility for USD/JPY and other major yen crosses
  • News on the Brexit transition can affect European pairs like GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

Technical snapshot

  • RSI considers the yen “oversold” against the Aussie
  • JPY is about to hit “oversold” conditions against NZD
  • JPY is approaching “overbought” levels against the dollar on the daily time frame
JPY Forex Pairs RSI from MarketMilk
JPY Forex Pairs RSI from MarketMilk
  • Daily SMAs show the yen’s short and long-term bearish trends against the Aussie, Kiwi, Loonie and the pound
  • JPY remains bullish against the dollar
  • JPY is seeing short-term demand against CHF and EUR on the daily time frame
JPY Forex Pairs SMA from MarketMilk
JPY Forex Pairs SMA from MarketMilk
  • The yen was most volatile against the Aussie, Kiwi, pound, and franc in the last seven days
JPY Forex Pairs Volatility from MarketMilk
JPY Forex Pairs Volatility from MarketMilk

This post first appeared on babypips.com

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