Fewer than one in six savers are on track for a comfortable old age, and even many higher earners face a financial shock, new research reveals.

If you are aiming for an affluent retirement, only 13 per cent of households overall and 30 per cent of the best-paid are on course, it found.

Even if you only set your sights on a moderate retirement income, just 39 per cent of households overall and 69 per cent of higher-income households look likely to achieve this, warns Hargreaves Lansdown which compiled the study.

Pension plan: Will you be planning cruises or counting the pennies in retirement?

Pension plan: Will you be planning cruises or counting the pennies in retirement?

Pension plan: Will you be planning cruises or counting the pennies in retirement?

To go for an upscale lifestyle, a single person needs an income of £37,300 a year and a couple requires a combined income of £54,500 a year – see below for what kind of expenses this could cover.

Many households may have to significantly cut spending in old age from what they are used to during their working lives, warns Hargreaves.

The firm based the figures above on its own Savings and Resilience Barometer, and on the annual living standards research by finance industry group the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association.

The PLSA calculates how much people need to save for a basic, moderate or comfortable retirement.

It looks at what sort of lifestyle a single person or couple can expect in old age, based on how much they manage to save up – but note that the figures exclude housing costs, so you need more if you are renting or still paying off a mortgage.

Inflation has also shot up since the figures were compiled for the last PLSA study.

Retirement income needs for single people (Source PLSA)

Retirement income needs for single people (Source PLSA)

Retirement income needs for single people  (Source PLSA)

Retirement income needs for couples (Source PLSA)

Retirement income needs for couples (Source PLSA)

Retirement income needs for couples (Source PLSA)

‘If you’ve been used to having plenty of money during your working life, then you could face a nasty surprise if you enter retirement and find your pension cannot sustain the lifestyle you’ve become accustomed to,’ says Helen Morrissey, head of retirement analysis at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Of the moderate income level given above, she adds: ‘If you’ve been used to lavish holidays a couple of times a year, then the two weeks in Europe afforded under this standard just isn’t going to cut it and you are going to need to make some difficult decisions on your spending.’

But Morrissey also notes that the latest barometer findings show the financial resilience gap between higher and lower earners is continuing to widen.

‘Higher earners have seen their overall resilience improve in stark contrast to lower-paid households. If these households are in a position where they can save more, then boosting contributions into a pension should be an important consideration.’

Morrissey’s tips for improving your retirement prospects are: increase your own contributions; check if your employer will put more money in if you do; track down all your old pensions; and consider consolidating them to cut down on costs, time and administration.

However, if you are thinking of merging your pensions, she adds: ‘Do check that you aren’t missing out on any valuable benefits such as guaranteed annuity rates by consolidating. Also check you aren’t incurring exit fees.’

> How to get your pension on track if it’s falling short – find out below

How does Hargreaves work out who is on track for a decent retirement? 

The Hargreaves study was based on the latest data from its Savings and Resilience Barometer, which is compiled in partnership with the forecasting firm Oxford Economics.

It is based on data from the Wealth and Asset survey by the Office for National Statistics – which draws its information from 10,000 households – plus other data from official sources.

Hargreaves says the barometer is structured around five pillars of financial behaviour – controlling your debts, protecting your family, saving for a rainy day, planning for later life and investing to make more of your money.

Are you planning to retire in 2024?

Ed Monk, associate director at Fidelity International, looks at what to consider.

Many of the risks you face at retirement are outside of your control, he writes.

The key lies in acknowledging these unknowns and understanding them to enhance the potential for maximising income options.

If your plans have changed, you might want to explore other potential sources of additional income, for example whether you might consider a phased retirement or looking at opportunities for part-time work

1. Pension pot performance

There has been some recovery after both stocks and bonds – the two assets most likely to comprise the bulk of pension pots – fell in tandem in 2022.

But retirement funds may still be regaining some of their value following more challenging conditions

2. Review annuity rates

The silver lining for those retiring now, is that the market falls impacting the value of their retirement funds have been accompanied by improving returns on other assets.

Annuities are paying more because the yields on some bonds have risen in line with interest rates, and so this reverses many years in which annuity rates have been low and many retirees are now considering annuities as an option once again.

The average rate for a 65-year-old buying a level annuity in December 2021 was 4.53 per cent, by July 2023 this had risen to 6.92 per cent and it remains elevated today at 6.27 per cent.1

This gives those retiring more options for their income, including blending annuities with income from investments.

Getting off to a bad start: The risk of ‘pound cost ravaging’

Pound cost ravaging is a nasty trap which can do severe damage to pension investments, especially in the early years of retirement – as you can see in the table above – writes Tanya Jefferies of This is Money.

It means that when markets fall you suffer the triple whammy of falling capital value of the fund, further depletion due to the income you are taking out, and a drop in future income.

In financial jargon, this is also known as negative pound cost averaging, or sequencing risk.

It poses a problem every time markets take a tumble, but is especially dangerous at the start of retirement because investors can rack up big losses and never make them up again if they aren’t careful.

On top of that, people who persist in taking an income in the initial years will crystallise their losses and pile up problems for the future.

Taking an income from shrinking investments early on can do disproportionate and irrecoverable damage to your portfolio, because it is much harder to rebuild it to a position of strength.

You do have options if your income drawdown portfolio is tanking.

They include using up cash and other assets before tapping it, making fixed percentage not fixed sum withdrawals, relying on ‘natural’ income generated from dividends rather than growth, and revamping your investments.

3. Drawdown from your investments

The timing of when to start withdrawals from a retirement fund can dramatically affect the value of a pension pot over time, and therefore the income it can generate.

4. The state pension

The state pension is an important component in any retirement plan and the good news for retirees is that the state pension has risen significantly recently thanks to the ‘triple lock’ – the policy of increasing the payment in line with the highest of wages, inflation or 2.5 per cent.

In 2023, the wages figure was highest meaning that the state pension will rise by 8.5 per cent in April.

How to sort out your pension if you fear it’s falling short

1) If you are worried about whether you will have saved enough, investigate your existing pensions. Broadly speaking, you need to ask schemes the following questions.

– The current fund value.

– The current transfer value – because there might be a penalty to move.

– Whether the pension is in a final salary or defined contribution scheme. Defined contribution pensions take contributions from both employer and employee and invest them to provide a pot of money at retirement. 

Unless you work in the public sector, they have now mostly replaced more generous gold-plated defined benefit – career average or final salary – pensions, which provide a guaranteed income after retirement until you die. 

Defined contribution pensions are stingier and savers bear the investment risk, rather than employers. 

– If there are any guarantees – for instance, a guaranteed annuity rate – and if you would lose them if you moved the fund.

– The pension projection at retirement age. You can use a pension calculator to see if you will have enough – these are widely available online.

2) You should add the forecast figures to what you anticipate getting in state pension, which is currently £203.85 a week or around £10,600 a year if you qualify for the full new rate. Get a state pension forecast here.

3) If you are tempted to merge your old pensions, read our guide first to ensure you won’t be penalised.

4) If you have lost track of old pots, the Government’s free pension tracing service is here. 

Take care if you do an online search for the Pension Tracing Service as many companies using similar names will pop up in the results.

These will also offer to look for your pension, but try to charge or flog you other services, and could be fraudulent. 

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